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Podcast
The Big Switch

Are Batteries the New Oil? 

Season 4, Episode 1

Batteries are at the center of the clean energy economy. Will they shape geopolitics in similar ways to oil?

We need to electrify much of the global economy in order to hit net-zero emissions by 2050. That means installing a lot of batteries in our cars, buildings, and across the grid to balance vast amounts of wind and solar.

The supply chain behind all those batteries could be worth nearly half a trillion dollars by 2030. Whoever controls that supply chain has enormous power – figuratively and literally. 

In this episode, we explore the stakes of the battery-based transition. We’ll open up a lithium-ion battery, investigate what’s inside it, and ask whether critical minerals will look anything like oil.

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Publications

The international trade dimensions of the United States critical minerals security strategy

This paper examines the trade dimensions of the policy instruments employed by the United States to secure critical minerals supply chains. Drawing on policy statements, executive orders, tariff schedules, and six bilateral critical minerals agreements announced in 2025, it assesses how US trade policy has been repurposed to advance supply-chain security objectives. The paper finds that recent US initiatives reflect bipartisan trends in reconfiguring trade policy that predate the Trump administration, even as they introduce new and consequential trade coordination mechanisms that operate outside the World Trade Organization and beyond conventional free trade agreements. Specifically, US critical minerals security strategy now relies on a differentiated set of sector-specific arrangements that combine familiar elements of US international economic engagement with more novel features that increasingly utilize trade policy instruments. What distinguishes these six minerals deals is their systematic coupling with parallel reciprocal trade negotiations, their incorporation of an explicitly ‘America First’ approach to reciprocity, the absence of a clear ideological hierarchy among partner countries, an emphasis on domestic processing and industrialization, and the growing use of exclusion mechanisms targeting third-party actors. The recurrence of these novel elements across diverse minerals deals suggests deliberate design rather than ad hoc experimentation that may have durable restructuring effects across global mineral supply chains. The paper concludes by outlining implications for US policy makers, for partner countries—particularly mineral-producing low- and middle-income economies—and for the architecture of the global trading system.

External Publications with Zainab Usman UNU-WIDER • April 01, 2026
The international trade dimensions of the United States critical minerals security strategy

Improving Critical Mineral Mining Negotiations in Chile: Toward Clearer and More Robust Frameworks for Benefit Sharing with Local Communities

Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez (UAI) Business School, in collaboration with CGEP, organized two closed-door roundtables in the summer of 2025 to discuss local community engagement in the context of lithium and copper extraction within the global energy transition.

Task Force Reports by Juan Pablo Escudero, Diego Rivera Rivota, Juan Carlos Jobet + 1 more • March 30, 2026
Improving Critical Mineral Mining Negotiations in Chile: Toward Clearer and More Robust Frameworks for Benefit Sharing with Local Communities
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